Welcome to the "Z" Team!

According to the sales numbers furnished by the El Dorado County Association of Realtors, county homes sales increased 14 percent during 2011 over 2010 ending the year with 2,400 homes closing escrow.

REOs accounted for one third of all sales while short sales made up another 25 percent. The percentage of shorts and REO sales will increase during the coming year. Some lenders have finally developed more streamlined procedures for handling short sale requests. Perhaps the delayed backlog of foreclosures is working its way through the pipeline? 

The number of homes available for sale is declining. By the end of the year there were 770 active residential listings (excluding active short sales with accepted offers called “active contingent.”) Based upon our current number of sales, averaging 220 a month for the last six months, that’s a three and a half month’s supply of homes on the market. During 2010 the county had a six months supply.

Source: Ken Calhoon, Real Estate Broker, Placerville, California

Fallen home prices and record-low mortgage rates have pushed housing affordability to a 40-year high. Meanwhile, rental prices are continuing to rise at a fast pace, according to a new report released by Hotpads.com, a rental listing service. 

Rental prices in many areas like ours in the Placerville, CA. increased about 3.5 percent in 2011, and prices are expected to continue to rise in 2012. Meanwhile, home prices fell by about 1.5 percent in 2011 but are expected to level out in 2012. 

“In a lot of cases it’s getting to a point where it makes more sense for people to buy because rent has been going up significantly faster, while home prices have been falling,” Paul Gleger, author of the report, told AOL Real Estate. 

Source: “U.S. Rental Market Stays Hot in 2011,” Hotpads.com (January 2012) and “Rental Prices Climb, Buying Remains More Affordable,” AOL Real Estate News (Jan. 18, 2012)

More news from the “Sierra Foothills” of El Dorado, Placer, Amador and Sacramento Counties of California at: www.sierraproperties.com or email: zeller@realtor.com

A new report by Real Capital Analytics shows the number of distressed commercial properties is plateauing and expected to continue to do so in the new year. Distressed properties — which include commercial properties that are in default, foreclosure, or repossessed by lenders — had totaled $171.6 billion in October 2011, a decrease from topping off at $191.5 billion in March 2010, according to Real Capital Analytics.

The real test of commercial propertiesis likely to be seen in 2012 and 2013, when about $300 billion in loans comes due each year,” according to a recent article in the Washington Post. 

At $41.9 billion, the office sector continues to have the largest number of distressed commercial properties. But that number has been steadily declining — about 11.8 percent less than its peak reached in October 2010. 

 More information at source: “Amount of Distressed Real Estate Could be on Way Down,” Washington Post (Dec. 26, 2011)

More news about “Commercial and Income Properties” from the El Dorado, Placer, Amador or Sacramento Counties of California regions at: www.sierraproperties.com or www.dougandbudzeller.com

The latest monthly data shows total existing-home sales, which are completed transactions that include single-family, townhomes, condominiums, and co-ops, increased 4.0 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.42 million in November from 4.25 million in October, and are 12.2 percent above the 3.94 million-unit pace in November 2010.

Full article at: http://bit.ly/trTuv9 via @AddThis

More news from Placerville and the El Dorado, Placer, Amador or Sacramento Counties regions of California at: www.sierraproperties.com or www.dougandbudzeller.com

A survey of 109 economists released this week by Zillow Inc. forecasts that U.S. home prices may fall further under the weight of foreclosures, bouncing back no sooner than 2013 even with mortgage rates at historic lows.

Zillow researchers say U.S. home values probably registered their smallest drop in four years in 2011, with prices expected to hit bottom in late 2012 or the first quarter of 2013 and begin rising by 3 percent a year through 2016.

“Negative equity, unemployment, and low consumer confidence remain the key factors delaying a true recovery,” Zillow Chief Economist Stan Humphries says.

 Source: “Foreclosures Weighing on Prices May Push Housing Rebound to 2013,” Bloomberg (Dec. 22, 2011)

More news from the “Sierra Foothills” regions of El Dorado, Placer, Amador and  Sacramento Counties, California  at: www.sierraproperties.com or www.dougandbudzeller.com

Economic growth, an improving job picture, greater consumer spending, and slight improvements in the housing market are all recent indicators that 2011 is ending on a much brighter note, Fannie Mae reports in its fourth-quarter report. 

“It’s important to recognize that we’re ending 2011 on a stronger note than we’ve seen throughout the year,” Fannie Mae Chief Economist Doug Duncan said in a statement. “Unfortunately, however, our 2012 outlook is not as rosy as our forecast for the fourth quarter of 2011.”

Fannie Mae’s Economics & Mortgage Market Analysis Group predicts that despite recent improvements, the housing market will remain “subdued next year — a reflection of the winter season, an expected slowdown in economic activity, and a potential increase in distressed sales.” The nation’s fiscal problems as well as the European debt crisis are also expected to threaten the nation’s economic recovery in 2012.

Source: Fannie Mae

We hope your activity has picked up like ours has here in the Sierra Foothills regions of Placerville, El Dorado County, California.

The government isn’t doing enough to help home owners at risk of default, foreclosure, and underwater on their homes, a majority of Americans say in the Home Horizons 2012 study, a survey conducted by Yahoo! Real Estate of 1,500 current and aspiring home owners. 

Fifty-one percent of home owners say the government needs to pass more legislation to help home owners who are at risk of losing their house. About two-thirds of Americans surveyed say the government needs to offer more assistance like low-cost loans to help home owners more.

Four out of five adults polled say the 2012 presidential election will have a small or large influence on the housing market, with 43 percent predicting it will have a large impact. However, one-third of those surveyed doubt either party — Republican or Democrat — will have either a positive or negative impact on the real estate market.

“A large-scale government policy that’s going to fix all of this — no one has seen such a thing,” Stan Humphries, chief Yahoo! Study, told Yahoo! Real Estate.

Source: “Yahoo! Study: Home Owners Want Political Action,” Yahoo! Real Estate (Dec. 12, 2011)

Other information from El Dorado, Placer, Amador or Sacramento Counties of California at: www.sierraproperties.com or www.dougandbudzeller.com

At its Tuesday meeting, the Federal Reserve reaffirmed its pledge to keep interest rates low and opted to not take any new measures to bolster the economy, saying the economy has already been showing signs of “expanding moderately.” The economy has shown some improvement in employment and consumer spending in recent weeks. However, the Fed cautioned at Tuesday’s meeting that the “housing sector remains depressed.”

In reaffirming a pledge it first issued in August, the Fed said the federal funds rate — which serves as a benchmark rate for many types of loans, including mortgages — will remain near zero until mid-2013. The Fed said it will continue with plans to move $400 billion of its bond portfolio into longer-term securities, which ultimately could send long-term interest rates even lower.

Overall, the Fed said the economy has steadily been showing signs of improvement and is on track to post its strongest gains of the year in the final months of 2011. But the Fed said that the European debt crisis will continue to pose a major threat to recovery with “strains in global financial markets continue to pose significant downside risks.”

Let’s hope this helps your market and ours in Placerville, El Dorado County, CA.

 Source: “U.S. Fed Leaves Rate Unchanged, Says Economy Expanding Moderately,” Bloomberg News (Dec. 13, 2011)

Appraisals continue to hamper deals. In the first six months of the year, one-third of real estate professionals say appraisals have caused a delay or canceling of contracts — that’s up from 29 percent for all of last year, the National Association of REALTORS® reports. Rural areas where similar comparable sales may be hard to find seem to experience more delays. At least we find this in foothill areas like the Placerville, California region.

Lenders are requiring more thorough appraisals, which appraisers are saying requires them to pull more comparable sales, which sometimes may include foreclosures or short sales that sell at discounted prices. Appraisers used to cite about three recently sold homes but now lenders require two to three times that, David Stevens, president of the Mortgage Bankers Association told SmartMoney. 

When the appraisals come in lower then the accepted offer — which more frequently is what is occurring — the seller either has to lower their price or the buyer has to pay the difference. From the three months ending September, 13 percent of real estate professionals say contracts were renegotiated to a lower sales price due to a low appraisal, according to NAR data.

Housing experts recommend that buyers add a statement in their contracts that says they’ll receive their initial down payment back if financing doesn’t come through the agreed price or the appraised value is below the offer in the contract, according to the SmartMoney article. 

Source: “How Appraisals Are Derailing Home Sales,” SmartMoney (Nov. 4, 2011)

Lenders accepting a lower mortgage payoff from an underwater seller traditionally isn’t thought of an easy transaction to complete. Lenders weren’t so willing a few years ago. But as the number of Americans underwater on their mortgages grow, more lenders are reconsidering as they try to avoid extra costs incurred to their bottom-lines that a foreclosure can cause. 

“We’re starting to see that servicers and lenders are viewing short sales as a better alternative than they had in the past,” says Daren Blomquist, spokesman for RealtyTrac. “Some of that relates to the fact that it’s getting harder to foreclose. There are additional requirements in terms of paperwork and requirements that states and judges are imposing.”

Short sales can still be complex and lengthy — they can take up to nine months to close and even after that, there’s no guarantee it’ll end successfully. “In general, it is a totally different type of transaction,” says Mike Cuevas, a real estate professional at Exit Realty in Chicago. “You’re not only selling a house, you’re negotiating debt.” 

More information at source: “Why it can Pay to try a Short Sale; Lenders may be Viewing Short Sales as a Better Alternative,” MarketWatch (Oct. 20, 2011)