Mortgage Rates Increase

“Purchase mortgage applications up nine percent from a year ago. The improved demand reflects the still healthy underlying consumer economic fundamentals such as a low unemployment rate, solid wage growth and low mortgage rates. While there has been a material weakness in manufacturing and consistent trade uncertainty, so far, the American consumer has proved to be resilient with solid home purchase demand,” says Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist.

Freddie Mac reports the following national averages for the week ending Sept. 12:

  • 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 3.56 percent with an average 0.5 point for the week ending September 12, 2019, up from last week when it averaged 3.49 percent. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 4.6 percent.
  • 15-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 3.09 percent with an average 0.5 point, up from last week when it averaged 3.0 percent. A year ago at this time, the 15-year FRM averaged 4.06 percent.

Source: Freddie Mac

Record Rates by Year’s End?

By the end of this year, the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage could drop to 3.3%, which would put this popular loan product near its lowest average since Freddie Mac began tracking back data 48 years.

Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the National Association of REALTORS®, made the prediction after seeing the latest Labor Department report last week, showing a slowing job market. “The economy is clearly weakening, and the employment conditions show a lagging indicator,” Yun says. “The soft job gains in August assures that the Federal Reserve will be cutting interest rates.”

 

Home Loan Rates Remain Low!

“Mortgage rates continued the summer swoon due to weaker economic data,” says Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s chief economist. “While economic growth is clearly slowing due to rising manufacturing and trade headwinds, economic fundamentals are still solid for U.S. consumers. The unemployment rate is low, housing affordability is improving, home buyer demand is rising, and home price growth is stable.”

Freddie Mac reports the following national averages for the week ending Sept. 5:

  • 30-year fixed-rate mortgages: averaged 3.49%, with an average 0.5 point, falling from last week’s 3.58% average. Last year at this time, they averaged 4.54%.
  • 15-year fixed-rate mortgages: averaged 3%, with an average 0.6 point, dropping from last week’s 3.06% average. A year ago, 15-year rates averaged 3.99%.
  • 5-year hybrid adjustable-rate mortgages: averaged 3.30%, with an average 0.4 point, dropping from last week’s 3.31% average. A year ago, averaged 3.93%.
Source: Freddie Mac

Mortgage Rates Hold Steady

“Mortgage rates inched up slightly this week, closing the month with the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate averaging 3.6 percent – almost a full percent from the same time last year. Low mortgage rates along with a strong labor market are fueling the consumer-driven economy by boosting their purchasing power, which will certainly support housing market activity in the coming months,” says Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist.

Freddie Mac reports the following national averages for the week ending Aug. 29:

  • 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 3.58 percent with an average 0.5 point for the week ending Aug 29, 2019, up from last week when it averaged 3.55 percent. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 4.52 percent.
  • 15-year FRM averaged 3.06 percent with an average 0.5 point, up from last week when it averaged 3.03 percent. A year ago at this time, the 15-year FRM averaged 3.97 percent.

Smartphones Are Guiding Buyers

Mobile devices are what buyers turn to for finding properties and real estate agents. This has put increasing importance on real estate pros to make sure their websites are mobile friendly and they’re connecting in a way that clients most desire.

The typical home buyer used a mobile device to search for properties online, looking at websites with photos, home listings, and information about the homebuying process, according to the newly released “Real Estate in a Digital Age 2019 Report” published by the National Association of REALTORS® that looks at technology use within transactions.

Overall, 76% of all buyers say they found their home on a mobile device. Seventeen percent of buyers surveyed said they also found their agent on a mobile device, too.

Source: “Real Estate in a Digital Age,” National Association of REALTORS® (8/2019)

Mortgage Rates at 2016 Territory

The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 3.55% this week, the lowest average since November 2016, Freddie Mac reports. The lower mortgage rates are boding well for the housing market.

“The drop in mortgage rates continues to stimulate the real estate market and the economy,” says Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s chief economist. “Home purchase demand is up five percent from a year ago and has noticeably strengthened since the early summer months, while refinances surged to their highest share in three and a half years.”

Freddie Mac reports the following national averages for the week ending Aug. 22:

  • 30-year fixed-rate mortgages: averaged 3.55%, dropping from last week’s 3.60% average. Last year at this time, they averaged 4.51%.
  • 15-year fixed-rate mortgages: averaged 3.03%, with an average 0.5 point, falling from last week’s 3.07% average. A year ago, 15-year rates averaged 3.98%.
Source: Freddie Mac

Refinance & Lower Loan Payments

Mortgage rates are hovering near three-year lows, and more homeowners may want to start taking advantage. Up to 20 million homeowners could “theoretically” see a 75-point drop in mortgage rates by refinancing, according to a recent analysis from Black Knight.

For homeowners with a credit score of at least 720 and with 20% of equity in their property, they could see savings of nearly $270 per month from lower rates.

Homeowners are starting to respond to lower rates. Refinances are at the highest point since mid-2016 and have doubled since late July. Refinances are up 37% over the past week alone, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association.

Rates Hover Near Record Lows

“The sound and fury of the financial markets continue to warn of an impending recession; however, the silver lining is mortgage demand reached a three-year high this week,” says Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s chief economist. “The decline in mortgage ratesover the last month is causing a spike in refinancing activity—as homeowners currently have $2 trillion in conventional mortgage loans that are in the money—which will help support consumer balance sheets and increase household cash flow. On top of that, purchase demand is up 7% from a year ago.”

Freddie Mac reports the following national averages for the week ending Aug. 15:

  • 30-year fixed-rate mortgages: averaged 3.60%, with an average 0.5 point, unchanged from last week’s average. Last year at this time, 30-year rates averaged 4.53%.
  • 15-year fixed-rate mortgages: averaged 3.07%, with an average 0.5 point, rising from last week’s 3.05% average. A year ago, 15-year rates averaged 4.01%.
Source: Freddie Mac

Latest Data Shows Housing Clash

Lower mortgage rates are prompting higher demand from home buyers to buy, but they aren’t finding enough homes for sale. Mortgage rates last week reached the lowest average since November 2016.

“July’s data highlight tension in the housing markets between buyers eager to take advantage of lower mortgage rates and potential sellers concerned about slowing price growth,” says George Ratiu, realtor.com®’s senior economist. “The decline in newly listed properties suggests that some would-be sellers are stepping back from the market, during the peak buying season, when most people are searching for their next home.”

July saw flat inventory growth, which realtor.com® researchers say could lead to inventory declines much sooner than originally anticipated. Newly listed properties were down 7% in July compared to a year ago, realtor.com® reports.

Source: realtor.com®

Faith in Real Estate, Not Stocks

Real estate has surpassed stocks as Americans’ favorite long-term investment, according to a nationwide Bankrate survey of about 1,000 respondents. Thirty-one percent of survey respondents named real estate as their favorite investment for building wealth that they don’t need access to for a decade or more. That is the best that real estate has performed on Bankrate’s annual survey in the last seven years. In 2018, stocks were the most popular .

Millennials, at 36%, were the most likely age group to call real estate their top long-term investment choice, according to the survey. Other generations also favored real estate, including generation X (31%), baby boomers (30%), and the silent generation (23%). “Millennials are higher on real estate than any other age group, have cooled a bit on cash, and still aren’t keen on the stock market when investing for more than ten years,” says Greg McBride, Bankrate’s chief financial analyst.

Source: “Real Estate Is Back as Americans’ Favorite Long-Term Investment,” Bankrate.com (July 17, 2019)